IMF cuts India’s growth forecast to 4.8% for 2019

Davos, January 20

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) today lowered growth estimate for India to 4.8% for 2019, citing stress in the non-bank financial sector and weak rural income growth as the major factors for the downward revision.

While providing an update on the global economy ahead of the start of the World Economic Forum (WEF) annual summit, the IMF cut its India growth forecast to 4.8% for 2019.

It expects growth to be 5.8% in 2020 and rise to 6.5% in 2021. India-born IMF Chief Economist Gita Gopinath said growth in India slowed sharply owing to stress in the non-bank financial sector and weak rural income growth.

China’s growth has been revised upward by 0.2% to 6% for 2020, reflecting the trade deal with the US, she added.

In India, the IMF said domestic demand has slowed more sharply than expected amid stress in the non-bank financial sector and a decline in credit growth. India’s growth is estimated at 4.8% in 2019, projected to improve to 5.8% in 2020, it added.— PTI